Updating our own priors to accommodate new evidence
Revisiting our published work on covid infection prevalence and fatality rates from May 2020
Rancourt et al: Covid-19 Vaccine-Associated
We now have MARTIN NEIL & NORMAN FENTON: Looking at the data again - with 20/20 hindsight - we should have concluded that:
1. The range of seroprevalence positive rates was far too wide to suggest it was diagnosable of anything much, and not consistent with a transmissibility pattern.
2. The vast differences between seroprevalence and PCR positive rates undermined many of the supposedly reliable theories underpinning how people got infected, sick and then died.
3. The range of fatality rates was far too wide to be consistent with a single common cause - the virus - and hence we should not have applied a uniform adjustment.
Mortality in the Southern Hemisphere ~ https://nzdsos.com/2023/10/03/rancourt-et-al-vaccine-associated-mortality/ Oct 2023 -
In May 2020 we published one of our first papers on covid-19, in the Journal of Risk Research. Given it isn’t a medical, biological or epidemiology journal this might look like an unusual venue for such a topic, but we published there because they were specifically looking for articles on covid ‘risk’. Also, and perhaps more importantly, we were startin…
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